…in conjunction with the PAC12 Conference Official Visitors and National Profile Matrix for College Football Recruiting for 2007-2011.
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Half way through the 2011 season and our National Revised 4 Year Team Recruiting Rankings have been correct in game picks 77% of the time across all FBS games including all of Washington’s games year to date and 84% of all PAC12 games. These were picks made in March 2011, 6 months before the season including all the non-AQ teams.
As the national leader in team recruiting stats, metrics and trends, I am in a constant search for new numbers in profiling college football team recruiting. As official visits are starting to heat up, I was curious as to the breakdown of official visit success on the team level, by conference and nationally. Being a Duck, I naturally started with the PAC12 (click here for PAC12 Article and Breakdown). I understand that there are any number of unreported unofficial visits and many commit without even a visit when they get an offer from their dream school However, official visits are very important as they serve as a significant marketing tool get more visits from top players. Take what you want from the numbers, but if you loves stats, trend and the CFBMatrix system, this stuff is for you!
I took a look at each team and its numbers and here is how the Huskies breakdown for official visits since the 2007 recruiting cycle. With coaching and player turnover as a long term factor, I used only the last 5 years to start the profiling. I will add recruiting cycles with subsequent updates.
Top months for visitors: January- 101 December – 54 (The rest are 0-20 visitors each month)
Top months to get OV to commit – Dec – 76% Jan – 62%
Average commit Rate from OV to Seattle – 58% (PAC12 conf. ave 49%)
Key observation: OV closing/commit rate was down to 48% in 2011. Still above the conference average, but much lower than the previous 4 years. On the flip side the last 2 years averages 48 OVs per year versus just 34 per year from ’07-’09.
In the PAC12, OVs have increased in numbers every month from pre-season (Aug -) all the way to January. The Huskies are above average in commit rates for December and January. At 31%, 33% and 32% in Oct, Nov, and December, the Huskies are slightly under conference commits from OVs for those months. The Huskies haven’t reported any OVs before the season starts and just 2 OVs in February and March. The PAC12 teams as a whole, have very few in February prior to LOI day.
Discuss the article (click here) on Dawgman and Scout.com