…in conjunction with the PAC12 Conference Official Visitors and National Profile Matrix for College Football Recruiting for 2007-2011.
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Half way through the 2011 season and our National Revised 4 Year Team Recruiting Rankings have been correct in game picks 74% of the time across all FBS games including all of Washington State’s (team page link) games year to date and 81% of all PAC12 games. These were picks made in March 2011, 6 months before the season including all the non-AQ teams.
As the national leader in team recruiting stats, metrics and trends, I am in a constant search for new numbers in profiling college football team recruiting. As official visits are starting to heat up, I was curious as to the breakdown of official visit success on the team level, by conference and nationally (click here for PAC12 Article and Breakdown). I understand that there are any number of unreported unofficial visits and many commit without even a visit when they get an offer from their dream school However, official visits are very important as they serve as a significant marketing tool get more visits from top players. Take what you want from the numbers, but if you loves stats, trend and the CFBMatrix system, this stuff is for you!
I took a look at each team and its numbers and here is how the Cougars breakdown for official visits since the 2007 recruiting cycle. With coaching and player turnover as long term factors, I used the last 5 years to start the profiling. I will add recruiting cycles with subsequent updates.
Top months for visitors: January – 89 December – 39
Top months to get OV to commit – Dec – 59% Jan – 56% Sept – 63%
Average commit Rate from OV to Pullman- 52.7%
Key observation: OV closing/commit rate has been 60%, 60% and 54% in the last 3 years versus 45% and 45% in the 2 previous years. Although the commit rate is going up, the recruiting rank is not. The Cougars need to get better players for OVs or get stuck in the bottom of the PAC12.
In the PAC12, OV have increased in numbers every month from pre-season (Aug -) all the way to January. The Cougars are above average in commit rates for Sept and Dec. At 27% in November and 56% in January, WSU is below the average for commits coming from OVs in those months. The Cougars have a few but insignificant number of August, Feb and March visits over the last 5 years.