2011 SEC SOS and EOS Breakdowns
Just a friendly reminder that the CFBMatrix modeling uses recruiting rankings as the baseline for all modeling, rankings, etc. Unlike other ‘ranking systems’ that change with each CFB week during the season, the CFBMatrix SOS and EOS modeled in the spring before the season does not change.
The SOS calculations are based on the 4 year recruiting ranking plus the average home/away variable national average. I feel this is a snapshot into the true ‘strength’ of each schedule to start a season. The Ease of Schedule or EOS is the SOS minus the recruiting rank of the team. For EOS, the bigger the number, the greater the average recruiting gap between the team and the team on their schedule. In an era in which only wins count, the lower the SOS rank and the higher the EOS rank the better your chances of winning football games (provided you have a + net game effect coach).
Not a real big difference in the SOS from #4 through #10. The most common impacts are tough road games and hard OOC scheduling. Here are some quick notes in reading the total SOS and EOS profiles below.
LSU easily has the highest non-conference SOS. Although it makes for good reviews by the sportswriters, it makes it bad for season wins. It is this kind of schedule, in a non-playoff system, that sets you up for greater risk to fatigue and injury for an entire season. Outside of LSU and Arkansas’s game with Texas A&M, there is not much to note. Really weak OOC SOS for the rest , but those should lead to 4 easy wins for programs that really need to put up any kind of Ws. However, those weak OOC schedules certainly won’t help season ticket sales or filling up a stadium.
Pending Write up