South Carolina Gamecocks

South Carolina Gamecocks 2011 Profile

Up until the 2010 season, Coach Spurrier and the Gamecocks fit very well within the CFBMatrix model.  ’10 was a +2 game effect bringing him up to +1 over the last 4 years against the model.  The most surprising part of ’10 is the number of big wins (4) and surprise loses (2) for South Carolina.  That season sure could have been very different in both directions.

At just +1 over 4 years, the coaching effect in total is very little over 4 years.  This team usually plays to it’s recruiting level as expected.  With winning and recruiting both on the rise, I expect South Carolina to be challenge for SEC East titles.  But until they push into better recruiting numbers, they not move into the elite levels of college football.

Gamecocks Recruiting Rank Links:

Most recent year , year over year recruiting improvement and 4 year moving averages of all 120 teams recruiting rankings based on CFBMatrix national composite rankings.

South Carolina 2011 Schedule Breakdown

South Carolina, over the last 4 years has some great numbers within the model.  In the last 48 games they have played, 18 were against teams that out recruited them in my 4 year moving average national recruiting ranking.  They won 6 of those 18 games.  this year they have four of those match ups so in reading the model the odds are best that they win one of those four games.

The other 30 games that they played against teams they out recruited they won 24 times.  In those 6 losses they played a team that had a 4 year national rank in my system in the 20s or it was Vanderbilt.  This year of the 8 teams they out recruited 5 are not ranked in the 20s or named Vanderbilt.  Stick to the odds… that’s 5 wins.

The other 3 are Vandy, Arkansas (#25) and Clemson (#23).  Again, with the number put up by the Gamecocks, we can expect them to win 2 or 3 of these games as they are upset by this ‘group’ less than 20% of the time.  That gives me a total of 8 to 9 wins.

Links to other Gamecock stats, trends, and articles

NFL/Recruiting Rank Ratios  Team Records – Odds Matrix  Returning Starters (All teams)

Gamecocks Win/Recruiting Trend Chart

Write up pending

For the best and fastest information on the Gamecocks follow these folks listed below. Tweet me if you tweet USC info so we can list you or tweet me with folks that need to be on here.

@BarrettSallee

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